Seasonal influenza remains a leading cause of serious respiratory illness and cardiopulmonary complications in older adults, where age-related immune changes can blunt vaccine responses. High-dose formulations were developed to overcome this vulnerability, but head-to-head comparisons under conditions that mirror routine care are rare and often methodologically constrained. A pragmatic, individually randomized, registry-enabled approach offers a way to answer a simple but consequential question at scale: which dose performs better where patients actually receive care.

The DANFLU-2 trial operationalizes that idea by integrating randomization into existing vaccination workflows and using national registries for complete follow-up and outcome capture. The protocol aims to compare event risks that matter to patients and health systems, from hospitalization to mortality, with minimal disruption to usual practice. For clinicians, public health authorities, and policymakers, the design promises faster, more generalizable evidence and a template for evaluating respiratory vaccines season after season. For details on the protocol, see the PubMed record (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40749884/).

In this article

Older adults carry a disproportionate burden of influenza morbidity and mortality, driven partly by immunosenescence and comorbidity clustering. High-dose formulations are intended to improve antibody responses and clinical protection, yet direct, routine-care comparisons with standard-dose products remain limited. Traditional explanatory trials optimize internal validity, but often at the cost of restricted populations, special follow-up procedures, and slow enrollment. Pragmatic, registry-enabled designs strike a different balance by embedding randomization into everyday workflows and relying on existing data streams to capture outcomes that are relevant to patients and systems. In that context, a head-to-head evaluation of a high-dose influenza vaccine against standard-dose vaccination provides decision-grade insight while minimizing disruption to care pathways.

At the core of this approach is an individually randomized, registry-enabled architecture that aligns with the principles of pragmatic trials. Instead of building bespoke data collection systems, allocation occurs during routine vaccination encounters, and exposure plus outcomes are recorded through national or regional registries. This format resembles a registry-based randomized trial, which preserves the causal advantages of randomization while reducing cost and complexity. Follow-up is near complete when registries capture vital status, hospital admissions, diagnostic codes, and pharmacy data, enabling intention-to-treat analyses with minimal loss to follow-up. Importantly, such designs are highly scalable across seasons, expanding power to examine heterogeneity across strains, settings, and patient subgroups.

Outcome selection leans toward hard clinical endpoints that are objective and consequential. Hospital admissions for respiratory illness, pneumonia, or acute cardiopulmonary events, as well as all-cause mortality, align with health system priorities and are feasible to capture via registries. Laboratory confirmation of infection can augment specificity when available, though registry-based definitions can still support robust effects if measurement error is nondifferential. In this context, hospitalization for cardiorespiratory causes can serve as a proximal measure of vaccine effectiveness in high-risk populations. The analytic strategy often triangulates multiple endpoints to guard against misclassification and to test consistency across clinically interpretable outcomes.

By leveraging routine care infrastructure, this design generates real-world evidence without sacrificing the balancing benefits of random allocation. Compared with observational approaches such as the test-negative design, randomization reduces residual confounding from healthcare-seeking behavior, frailty, and unmeasured risk factors. It also simplifies interpretation of comparative effectiveness, because baseline differences average out between arms under proper allocation concealment. Endpoints obtained from registries are less prone to ascertainment bias than active surveillance that might vary by treatment group. The result is evidence that mirrors everyday practice while retaining the causal clarity that clinicians and policymakers require.

A key advantage of registry-enabled pragmatism is reduced operational overhead for both sites and participants. Eligibility mirrors real-world vaccination criteria, with few exclusions, and the intervention is the same product administered through usual channels. Ascertainment via health registries eliminates frequent study visits, special labs, or active surveillance burdens. Although masking is typically not feasible, the reliance on objective events like coded admissions and deaths mitigates detection bias. From a system perspective, integration into vaccination clinics or pharmacies means staff can execute allocation with minimal added steps, improving scalability during busy seasons.

Real-world vaccination programs are dynamic, and pragmatic designs anticipate crossovers, missed appointments, and product substitutions. Intention-to-treat remains the primary estimand, preserving the benefits of randomization and reflecting policy-level effects. Pre-specified per-protocol or as-treated analyses can inform biological efficacy but must account for selection and measurement biases. Sensitivity analyses that restrict to early-season vaccinations or adjust for timing can reduce dilution from mid-season product switching. Transparent reporting of adherence, availability constraints, and workflow deviations helps clinicians interpret effect sizes in the context of actual program logistics.

Implementing a pragmatic, individually randomized trial in vaccination settings offers operational lessons with broad relevance. Randomization surfaces should be as close as possible to the vaccination decision point, ideally integrated into electronic health records or pharmacy dispensing tools. Minimal, structured data capture at the encounter can improve exposure ascertainment and reduce downstream cleaning. Clear guidance on substitution rules, deferred vaccination, and documentation for no-shows limits ambiguity and misclassification. Finally, aligning trial calendars with vaccine supply chains and peak incidence periods ensures that allocation maps well to risk windows where relative effectiveness is most informative.

Registry-enabled trials rely on coding accuracy, timely data flows, and linkages across multiple data sources. Pre-trial audits of coding concordance for pneumonia, influenza-like illness, and cardiopulmonary admissions can prevent endpoint drift and improve power. Calendar-time adjustments account for variable circulation by strain and sublineage across the season, reducing confounding by epidemic phase. Subgroup analyses by age band, care setting, comorbid burden, prior vaccination history, and time since vaccination can characterize heterogeneity while preserving multiplicity control. When feasible, external calibration using virologic surveillance helps anchor specificity for respiratory outcome definitions.

Pragmatic designs trade some control over processes for broad reach and generalizability. Lack of blinding may lead to small differences in ancillary care, but reliance on hard endpoints constrains bias. Minimal exclusions mean results reflect the population that policies target, including those with frailty or polypharmacy often excluded from explanatory trials. The sampling frame can include long-term care facilities, community clinics, and hospital-based vaccination programs, strengthening applicability across settings. Documentation of context, including local uptake patterns and coadministration practices, is essential for interpreting cross-season and cross-jurisdiction differences.

Estimand clarity matters in seasonal vaccine trials where circulation intensity and strain match fluctuate. The intention-to-treat estimand captures assignment effects across the season, including early and late vaccinations relative to peak incidence. Alternative estimands that focus on time-at-risk after reaching protective immunity offer biologic insight but can be sensitive to informative censoring. Time-varying hazard models can accommodate changing force of infection and waning, particularly when follow-up extends across multiple waves. In all cases, prespecification and sensitivity analyses guard against post-hoc rationalization and improve credibility.

Even when risk profiles are well characterized, large-scale programs warrant continuous safety surveillance. Linkage to hospitalization and emergency department encounters enables rapid detection of rare adverse events, especially when supplemented by active signal detection. Pre-specified risk windows for events of special interest, such as neurologic or cardiac outcomes, support timely adjudication. Harmonizing case definitions with pharmacovigilance frameworks ensures findings can be pooled and compared across seasons and geographies. Feedback loops with regulatory authorities and public health agencies accelerate communication of emergent safety information without stalling core effectiveness analyses.

Comparative effectiveness measured under routine care is directly informative for coverage decisions, national vaccination recommendations, and procurement strategies. Health technology assessment bodies can combine pragmatic randomized results with cost and utilization data to estimate budget impact and incremental cost-effectiveness. Because endpoints like hospitalizations and deaths map to high-cost, high-priority outcomes, relative risk reductions translate readily into resource planning. When results are stable across seasons and lineages, they can support durable policy shifts toward doses or products that consistently perform better. Conversely, if effects vary by strain or patient subgroup, policies can target those most likely to benefit, maximizing clinical value per dose.

One of the most powerful advantages of registry-enabled designs is their reusability. Once randomization and data streams are in place, the same infrastructure can be rerun each season, with small protocol adjustments to reflect circulating strains or new formulations. Accumulating evidence across seasons enables meta-analytic synthesis within a consistent operational framework, refining effect estimates and narrowing uncertainty. Harmonized outcome definitions and analysis plans permit pooling across jurisdictions, facilitating rapid knowledge transfer. The result is a living evidence base that remains current with viral evolution and market dynamics.

The same pragmatic, registry-enabled principles extend well beyond influenza. Respiratory syncytial virus and SARS-CoV-2 vaccination programs face similar questions about comparative effectiveness across products, age bands, and comorbidity profiles. Platform-style, individually randomized designs could compare multiple doses or adjuvanted formulations concurrently, with shared control groups and common outcome definitions. Coadministration strategies, spacing intervals, and product sequencing can also be evaluated efficiently within this template. By aligning trial operations with routine care, health systems can continuously generate evidence that matches the pace of viral epidemiology and product innovation.

Looking ahead, pragmatic randomization paired with registry follow-up is poised to streamline vaccine evaluation without compromising scientific rigor. Its promise lies in credible causal inference, high generalizability, and operational efficiency. Limitations remain, including unblinded allocation, potential coding misclassification, and seasonal variability that complicates cross-year comparisons. Yet these can be mitigated through robust endpoint selection, prespecified analytic plans, and multi-season replication. As vaccination programs evolve, this model offers a durable pathway to faster, clearer answers for clinicians and policymakers.

LSF-6838208754 | October 2025


How to cite this article

Team E. Pragmatic trial design for high-dose influenza vaccine in elders. The Life Science Feed. Published November 11, 2025. Updated November 11, 2025. Accessed December 6, 2025. .

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References
  1. A pragmatic individually randomized trial to evaluate the effectiveness of high-dose vs standard-dose influenza vaccine in older adults: Rationale and design of the DANFLU-2 trial. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40749884/.